Vekked;298163 wroteVillain is one of the best mass-tabling 200NL regs/SNE. He's 18/13 overall and 3-bets about 6% total. I have a loose image and there's some chance he 3-bets me slightly more often. I have some notes but not sure if they're relevant, and I'd like to hear thoughts without those reads.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) -
UTG+1 ($97.30)
MP1 ($88.08)
MP2 ($206.28)
MP3 ($132)
Hero (CO) ($204)
Button ($446.07)
SB ($409.46)
BB ($208)
UTG ($205)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 7, 8
5 folds, Hero bets $5, Button raises to $15, 2 folds, Hero calls $10

Flop: ($33) K, 8, 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

Turn: ($33) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $22, Hero calls $22

River: ($77) J (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $409.07 (All-In), Hero ...? (the river jam is $167 effective btw)

I don't play online, but live he has most likely has JJ with that shove. Overall range would be KK/JJ/AA IMO.

It's obviously a polarizing bet, but isn't a bluff in his mind. I don't see AK shoving here unless he feels you have a weaker K which would have to be specifically KQ(/KT) if he thinks he can get a call, but the J on the river would halt all value polarizing shoves as KJ is easily a part of your range that is never folding to a shove.

Him having KJ does not seem likely given your description of him.

AA would be a value shove vs your AK/KQ/KJ/KT hands.

I fold as I think his range is strongly skewed towards JJ/KK. The action reallly makes me think JJ in this spot as most polarizing value shoves would be for disguised hands and hitting the J is pretty much equivalent of hitting a backdoor anything on the river and making a value shove the way the hand played out.